This is one of the most intriguing match-ups of this post season because there are so many stories within the story. There is the utterly surprising play of the Hornets, most notably, Chris Paul’s performance this season, the Jason Kidd trade, the Mavs’ play since Dirk Nowitzki has come back from his injury and of course, the Mavericks early first round loss to the Warriors will be mentioned at least 60 times during every game of this series. The season series was spit with the home team winning each game.
The things to look out for in this series will definitely be point guard play and Dirk. Moving Devin Harris to New Jersey for Jason Kidd will be crucial in this series because now there is no way Dallas is going to be able to neutralize the quickness of Chris Paul. Kidd has been playing well since the return of Dirk but he’s going to expend a lot of energy chasing around Paul in a seven game series. Paul, on the other hand, has been a great defender all season and can really go after opposing point guards and disrupt half court sets. Nowitzki has to play lights out; and even better than that on the road this series. After last years loss to Golden State his mental and physical toughness was challenged. I think he’s answered the physical part with the last two weeks of this season, but he’s really going to have to perform well for Dallas to move on and for him to cast away those demons.
Prediction: Mavericks in 7
| Point Guard - Chris Paul vs. Jason Kidd | |||
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There’s no telling if Paul will win this season’s MVP award, but he’s undoubtedly been this season’s most valuable point guard. When Jason has been the opposing point guard this season, Chris Paul has averaged 26 points, 4.9 rebounds, 9.3 assists and 4.8 steals. | ![]() |
There is no doubt that his playoff experience and leadership abilities are much better than Paul’s at this point in their careers, but Chris Paul has played better all season, and has out played Kidd in two of the three games they’ve played all season. Most of Kidd’s production in this series will not show up in the stat sheet, but will happen on the sidelines and in the locker room. |
Advantage - Chris Paul |
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Shooting Guard - Morris Peterson vs. Jason Terry |
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Peterson is the reason I almost gave my MVP vote to Chris Paul. He just isn’t the ideal shooting guard for a great point guard. Against Dallas this season Peterson is scoring well under his 8ppg average for the season. Look for Jason Kidd to spend a lot of time on Peterson to take a break from guarding Chris Paul. | ![]() |
After spending the previous two years starting, Jason Terry has spent most of this season coming off the bench, where he has been much more efficient. Against New Orleans this year he has played extremely well averaging 22ppg and shooting 50 percent from behind the arch. Morris Peterson can’t keep pace with Terry. |
Advantage - Jason Terry |
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Small Forward - Peja Stojakovic vs. Josh Howard |
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There is no question that this is Peja Stojakovic’s best post-Sacramento season to date. He’s had years with better numbers, but he’s meant more to this year’s Hornets team than any other team thus far. Against Dallas he has been deadly behind the three-point arch averaging nearly 60 percent. Howard will be a tough guard for him, but he makes up for his defensive lapses with timely shooting. | ![]() |
Josh Howard has great numbers this season, but he really hasn’t improved from last year and he’s done nothing worth talking about since, well, I can’t remember. Howard has been really inconsistent against New Orleans this season and is going to have to really pay attention to Peja Stojakovic on the defensive end of the floor. |
Advantage - Peja Stojakovic |
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Power Forward - David West vs. Dirk Nowitzki |
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This has been an amazing year for David West, who played in his first All-Star Game along side Chris Paul. However, West has struggled on the offensive end against the Mavericks this season. He’ll continue to do the little things and rebound, but he’s going to have a tough time getting shots up over Dallas’ bigs. | ![]() |
Just like Josh Howard, Dirk Nowitzki did not play well in all four games, however, Nowitzki played as well as anyone did down the stretch of the regular season. Dirk has size, length and experience over David West, not to mention a plethora of moves unheard of for a man Dirk’s size. |
Advantage - Dirk Nowitzki |
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Center - Tyson Chandler vs. Erick Dampier |
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Three years ago, I probably wouldn’t even have compared these two players, but Tyson Chandler has become a force to be reckoned with. Chandler won’t have too many problems with Dampier, he’s continually getting better and Chris Paul can get him the ball whenever Paul feels like it. Chandler’s biggest contributions will come on defense though, he’s on his way to becoming a premier defender in the league. | ![]() |
So much money is being wasted on Dampier’s contract. They’re paying 10 million a year for 25 minutes on non-production. He hasn’t played well against New Orleans this year, but what’s new, he doesn’t play well against anyone. He’ll alter a few shots and maybe block one every other game, but that will be about it for Dampier in this series. |
Advantage - Tyson Chandler |
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Hornets' Bench vs. Mavs' Bench |
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I like Jannero Pargo and Julian Wright (who I’m predicting to have a huge breakout season next year), but I really couldn’t tell you who else they have on their bench off the top of my head. The Hornets have the fourth least productive bench in the league, and if they lose this series, it will be because of their lack of bench production. | ![]() |
Brandon Bass has been great for the Mavericks this season. When you add in Devean George, Eddie Jones and either Jerry Stackhouse or Jason Terry, this is a pretty good bench. They may be a little older that a lot of other teams, but they’re productive. |
Advantage - Mavericks' Bench |
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Coaching - Byron Scott vs. Avery Johnson |
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I loved Avery Johnson after he took over a struggling Mavericks team and lead them to the post season. I loved Avery Johnson after he lead that same team to the Finals this season. Now, I don’t love Avery Johnson. He’s become as hungry for power as Mark Cuban is and has made questionable move after another this year. I feel like he has this year and next year to get the Mavs back to the Finals before he’s let go. | ![]() |
I loved Avery Johnson after he took over a struggling Mavericks team and lead them to the post season. I loved Avery Johnson after he lead that same team to the Finals this season. Now, I don’t love Avery Johnson. He’s become as hungry for power as Mark Cuban is and has made questionable move after another this year. I feel like he has this year and next year to get the Mavs back to the Finals before he’s let go. |
Advantage - Byron Scott |
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